Model Performance
Transparent track record of our prediction accuracy
Overall Performance
Performance by League
| League | Predictions | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 110 | 58 | 52.7% |
| Bundesliga | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | 30 | 18 | 60.0% |
| Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | 236 | 107 | 45.3% |
| Championship | 296 | 122 | 41.2% |
| Championship | 111 | 46 | 41.4% |
| Copa Libertadores | 27 | 10 | 37.0% |
| Copa Libertadores | 10 | 4 | 40.0% |
| Eredivisie | 212 | 110 | 51.9% |
| Eredivisie | 103 | 55 | 53.4% |
| European Championship | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 100 | 47 | 47.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 99 | 46 | 46.5% |
| Ligue 1 | 215 | 102 | 47.4% |
| Ligue 1 | 103 | 57 | 55.3% |
| Premier League | 400 | 188 | 47.0% |
| Premier League | 271 | 136 | 50.2% |
| Primeira Liga | 103 | 60 | 58.3% |
| Primeira Liga | 222 | 107 | 48.2% |
| Primera Division | 103 | 53 | 51.5% |
| Primera Division | 266 | 118 | 44.4% |
| Serie A | 50 | 32 | 64.0% |
| Serie A | 184 | 88 | 47.8% |
| UEFA Champions League | 189 | 117 | 61.9% |
| UEFA Champions League | 156 | 94 | 60.3% |
How We Calculate Performance
Accuracy: The percentage of predictions where our recommended bet matched the actual match outcome.
Simulated ROI: If you had bet ₦100 on every recommendation at the odds available at the time, this is your return on investment.
Note: ROI simulation assumes all bets are placed at recorded odds. Actual results may vary due to odds changes, bet timing, and other factors.
Our Prediction Model
SportsPred uses a combination of statistical models to generate predictions:
- Poisson Distribution Model (60% weight): Predicts scorelines based on team attack and defense strength
- Elo Rating System (40% weight): Measures team strength over time using historical results
Predictions are only shown when they offer positive expected value (+EV) compared to bookmaker odds.
⚠️ Past performance does not guarantee future results. Sports betting involves risk. All predictions are for informational and entertainment purposes only. Please bet responsibly.